Lock downs coming to India

Imran Khan didn't allow the USA to build bases in Pakistan. He didn't lock down the country during COVID-19, even though the USA recommended it. He got ousted.
Sheikh Hasina didn't allow the USA control over St. Martin Island. She got ousted.
See the pattern.

Some Indian actions seem to have angered the USA, e.g., Buying fuel from Russia, BRICS membership, etc. So, the opposition voice is getting stronger in India. Some strong powers are secretly supporting the opposition. What will the Indian government do now?
Let us look at history. China was facing protests in Hong Kong. They used the excuse of COVID-19 to lock down Hong Kong. The protests subsided, and the lockdown ended.
I expect the Indian government to use the excuse of Monkeypox to lock down parts of the (or maybe complete) country. Once the opposition protests have subsided, lockdowns will end.

Kolkata rape

A 31-year-old woman was raped in Kolkata, West Bengal hospital. The guilty will be punished because the CBI is investigating this highly publicized case. But, the victim was also at fault here, because She voluntarily chose to remain alone in the "Seminar hall" of the hospital at around 2 AM. The incident now has political implications.

The BJP central government is supporting agitations against the West Bengal Chief Minister. The BJP wants to impose Presidential rule in West Bengal.

In BJP-ruled states, the Opposition parties are agitating against the state government for rapes in those states. They are trying to say, "Rapes, though unfortunate, happen in all states of India. So imposing Presidential rule in opposition-ruled states is a violation of Democracy."

What will happen now?

1. Scenario with low probablity: BJP will succeed in highlighting the Kolkata rape case and sweep the remaining rape cases under the carpet. Presidential rule will be imposed in Kolkata.
2. Scenario with high probability: BJP will realize that imposing Presidential rule in Kolkata would mean sympathy votes for the opposition. So, the BJP will say, "Please vote for us. We will improve the law-and-order situation; the opposition can't."