Tuesday, 20 August 2019

An Indian visitor's impression of Singapore

Difference between traveling to Singapore and traveling to India.
  1. After landing in Singapore, when you go to collect your luggage; if you are late, you will find your bag stacked at one end. So you can pick it up immediately. Singapore shows care for its visitors.
    After landing in India, when you go to collect your luggage; usually luggage is still to come, even if you are late. When the luggage comes, it keeps moving on the conveyor belt. No airport personnel picks up the luggage and stacks it in one corner for your convenience. India shows thoughtlessness for its visitors.
  2. After landing in Singapore, if you have nothing to declare; you just walk out of the Green channel. Singapore government shows faith in its people.
    After landing in India, even if you have nothing to declare; you have to put your bags in X-ray in the Green channel. Indian government shows distrust in its people.
  3. After landing in Singapore, you have multiple options to go to city centre e.g. Metro, Bus for passengers only, Taxi, etc. All these modes of transport are easily accessible. The road to city centre is un-congested. Singapore displays its cleanliness.
    After landing in India, you have no metro, no bus for passengers only; there is auto rickshaw, Taxi, etc. These modes of transport are not easily accessible. The road to city centre is congested. India shows inefficiency.
  4. While leaving Singapore, there is no manual immigration clearance for visitors. You put in your passport and the machine does a fingerprint scan; the doors open automatically for you to leave Singapore. Singapore shows efficiency.
    While leaving India, a government official looks at your passport, boarding pass, etc. Then your photo is taken; then the official decides to manually signal the door to be open so that you can leave India. India displays its bureaucracy.
  5. In Singapore, there are no hawkers selling on street; throwing garbage on street. The roads are clean. Traffic laws are obeyed. There is hardly ever a traffic jam. Every railway/metro station has escalators. Singapore shows commitment to productivity.
    In India, there are hawkers in almost every street of city. Garbage lies on every street. The roads are dirty. Traffic laws are regularly violated. Traffic jams are common. Most railway stations have many staircases. India is unproductive.
  6. Before boarding plane, in the waiting area, at Singapore airport many seats have two usb ports and one electrical socket. This means the passenger can charge two mobiles and a laptop at the same time. The electrical socket is international; so no adapter is needed even if the passenger has UK, USA or Indian plug. Singapore airport is one of best.
    In waiting area, at Indian airport, the seats don't have usb ports or electrical sockets. Some electrical sockets are present in some corner, but only Indian plug can fit into them, if they are working. Indian airports are one of the worst.
  7. At Singapore airport, there is no frisking of passengers; the passengers don't have to remove their belt, shoes, etc. Yet Singapore crime rate is low.
    At Indian airport, there is physical frisking of passengers; the passengers have to remove their belt, shoes, etc. Yet Indian crime rate is high.
  8. At Singapore Changi airport, the passenger gets high speed WiFi internet on multiple devices (i.e. multiple mobiles and laptops) simultaneously for 24 hours. Singapore shows its abundance.
    At Indian airport, the passenger gets low speed WiFi internet on single device (i.e. one mobile or laptop) for 45 minutes only. India shows its miserliness to every visitor as soon as he enters India.
  9. Single use plastic bags, bottles, etc are convenient for people. So Singapore has set up an elaborate system, to dispose off these plastics, without causing environmental problems. Singapore cares about the convenience of its people.
    India has banned the use to single use plastic; hefty fines are imposed on defaulters. India has no system to dispose these plastics, without causing environmental harm. India doesn't care about the convenience of its people.
Hence, Singapore is a first-world developed country; and India is a third-world under-developed country.

Saturday, 6 July 2019

2019 budget in India

A good budget

  • Reduces taxes.
  • Reduces regulations.
  • Reduces subsidies.
  • Reduces expenses by privatization; reduces deficit.

Some parts of this 2019 budget are good; some parts of the bad.

The good parts of the budget are:

  • Reduction in custom duty for some defence equipment,
  • GST process slightly simplified with one monthly return.
  • Tax rate slightly reduced for small companies.
  • Disinvestment. It will not benefit much because the government retains control over PSU

The bad parts of the budget are:

  • Increase in customs duty on gold, books, TVs, ACs, CCTVs, etc.
  • Additional tax on fuel.
  • Large cash withdrawals to be taxed.
  • Income tax on rich individuals increased
  • New tax on share buybacks.
  • Tax rebate for affordable housing will make housing costlier.
  • Tax rebate on loans for EVs will cause disproportionate and unnecessary investment in EVs. This investment would have been better utilized elsewhere.
  • PSU banks will be provided with Rs 70,000 crores. PSU are already bankrupt. Why waste more money on them?
  • Instead of reducing borrowing, India will now borrow in foreign currency, rather than domestically.

Overall the budget does little. It is basically a lost opportunity to make any significant improvements.


Monday, 10 June 2019

Why NEP will fail?

Currently in India, education for child consists of

  1. Junior Kg, Senior Kg in pre-school beginning from age of 4 years.
  2. Standard 1 to 10 in school.
  3. Standard 11 and 12 in college.

The NEP (New education policy) will consist of
  1. Three years of pre-primary beginning from age of 3 years.
  2. Grades 1 to 12.

NEP will fail for the same reason the existing education policy has failed. In the existing education policy, the government decides on the syllabus, decides the wages of teachers, decides the reservation among students & teachers, conducts exam, decides fees and awards degrees. The government is inefficient, corrupt and slow to change.

The only way education can be improved in India is to get the government out of the way. Private companies will provide education for profit. They will compete with each other on the basis of syllabus, teaching quality, infrastructure, fees, etc. The best value provider will succeed.

Government doesn't decide whether I purchase Nokia mobile or Samsung. There is competition among mobile makers. This ensures good quality and low prices. The same rule should be applicable for education. The only reason this rule is not applied to education is "Corruption". Many politicians and donors to political parties have colleges/schools. These charge huge fees for bad education. These institution will perish in free market.


Wednesday, 29 May 2019

What to expect in Modi's second term?

Based upon actions taken during Modi's first term, Modi is expected to take following actions during his second term:

  • Keep inflation under control. Real estate will not be a good investment.
  • Move towards cashless society. Cash withdrawals will be taxed or made cumbersome. Cash transactions will be viewed with suspicion.
  • Make gold/silver buying/selling more difficult. Encourage people to give up their gold for loans/bonds.
  • Put Hinduism and Nationalism in school syllabus and degrade them further.
  • Criticizing government will be looked up as anti-national and pro-Pakistan. Freedom of speech for individuals and press will be curbed.
  • Modi and Amit Shah will effectively rule India. The voice of all others (including BJP MLAs) will be stifled

During Modi's first term (2014 to 2019), Modi demonetized ₹1,000 and ₹500 currency notes. During Modi's second term (2019 to 2024), Modi can do following dramatic steps:

  • Ban ₹2,000 note overnight. This time there will be no exchange. All ₹2,000 will be declared scrap.
  • Confiscate gold in bank lockers.
  • Confiscate bank deposits above a certain limit e.g. ₹10 lakhs.
  • Devalue the Indian rupee.
The official reasons for above steps will be "helping the poor". The real reason will be much different.
To protect themselves from Modi's above disastrous steps, people can:
  • Reduce ₹2,000 currency note at hand.
  • Move gold from bank locker to private locker.
  • Reduce the amount saved in bank deposits.
  • Protect themselves from devaluation by purchasing physical assets.


Saturday, 23 March 2019

The coming Indian elections

BJP has done election alliance with nearly 35 other parties like AIADMK, Shiv Sena, etc.
Congress has done election alliance with a large number of parties like NCP, RJD, etc.
Some parties (like are Trinamool, SP, BSP, AAP, etc) are strong within their state. They don't have any election alliance with BJP or Congress. These parties will join BJP alliance or Congress alliance, after the elections are over.

So the coming election will essentially a three way fight between BJP alliance, Congress alliance and a Third front.
In the coming election, neither the BJP alliance, nor the Congress alliance is expected to get a clean majority. So the Third front is expected to play the deciding role. This is bad for India because it means that

  • No major decisions will be taken.
  • The Third Front parties will extract their pound of flesh (bribes).
  • Corruption will increase.

BJP is advertising the coming elections as Modi vs "who else?"; but these are just slogans (Chunavi Jumlas). BJP can't play the economy card in this election because De-monetization and GST have hurt the economy. So BJP is going to play the Nationalism card. I expect the tensions, with Pakistan, to increase as election date approaches near. We may even have one or more terror attacks, to ignite the fire of nationalism, which will help BJP to grab more votes.

Saturday, 16 February 2019

Army people are not great, they are just normal

Politicians want to create the impression that the died army men are great because it benefits them in many ways

  • They get to spend more on security. This will lead to more kickbacks.
  • They get to increase taxes under the guise of national security.
  • Anyone opposing the politicians is branded as as traitor; so it suppresses mutiny.

Who joins the army? Does the normal army person has so great a love for the country, that he is willing to sacrifice his life? The answer is No.

  • Most people who join the army are jobless.
  • They don't have a good family business or family income.
  • They are relatively uneducated or less educated.
  • They know that most people who join the army come back alive i.e. more than 99%.
  • So army is the best job that they can find.

A person, who works a normal office job or business in private (not government) sector, does more for his country than most army man, because his taxes pay for the salary and equipment of army men.