Why BJP will lose in coming state elections?

Four states will go for elections during the next couple of months. I think BJP will lose in almost all of them for the following reasons.

• Excise duty on gold has caused jewelers to go on strike. This is inconvenience to millions.
• Inflation remains high. Even though the price of oil has reduced dramatically, BJP has raised the taxes on oil in India to avoid passing all the benefits to public.
• Budget did not lower taxes. BJP came to power on the agenda of better days, but it released a socialist budget that burdens the middle class.
• Even though, inflation remains high; BJP government continues to lower interest rates.