Wednesday 29 May 2019

What to expect in Modi's second term?

Based upon actions taken during Modi's first term, Modi is expected to take following actions during his second term:

  • Keep inflation under control. Real estate will not be a good investment.
  • Move towards cashless society. Cash withdrawals will be taxed or made cumbersome. Cash transactions will be viewed with suspicion.
  • Make gold/silver buying/selling more difficult. Encourage people to give up their gold for loans/bonds.
  • Put Hinduism and Nationalism in school syllabus and degrade them further.
  • Criticizing government will be looked up as anti-national and pro-Pakistan. Freedom of speech for individuals and press will be curbed.
  • Modi and Amit Shah will effectively rule India. The voice of all others (including BJP MLAs) will be stifled

During Modi's first term (2014 to 2019), Modi demonetized ₹1,000 and ₹500 currency notes. During Modi's second term (2019 to 2024), Modi can do following dramatic steps:

  • Ban ₹2,000 note overnight. This time there will be no exchange. All ₹2,000 will be declared scrap.
  • Confiscate gold in bank lockers.
  • Confiscate bank deposits above a certain limit e.g. ₹10 lakhs.
  • Devalue the Indian rupee.
The official reasons for above steps will be "helping the poor". The real reason will be much different.
To protect themselves from Modi's above disastrous steps, people can:
  • Reduce ₹2,000 currency note at hand.
  • Move gold from bank locker to private locker.
  • Reduce the amount saved in bank deposits.
  • Protect themselves from devaluation by purchasing physical assets.